NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78bcec63946711977298825bbd5bf23ae74cecc03cb2938703a2ac49478b0b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 53c | 25,624$13,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,986.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Grizzlies | 48c | 15,315$7,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351.25 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Jazz | 53c | 10,999$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.56 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 52c | 9,991$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…d137backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,950$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 7,421$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.06 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 5,750$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 4,844$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 4,000$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,477$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,414$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.49 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,894$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Jazz | 60c | 1,735$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.78 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 52c | 1,282$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.47 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,116$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Jazz | 53c | 990.12$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 981.39$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Jazz | 53c | 880.1$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.65 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 821.85$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.27 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Grizzlies | 45c | 799.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 52c | 758.19$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Jazz | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…55ecbacked Jazz | 53c | 720.6$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Jazz | 53c | 641.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 547.42$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Jazz | 53c | 504.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.05 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 46c | 487.18$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Jazz | 53c | 440.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Jazz | 53c | 429.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 47c | 374.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 47c | 369.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Jazz | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Jazz | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Jazz | 53c | 356.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 305.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Jazz | 52c | 301.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Jazz | 55c | 274.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Jazz | 53c | 253.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Jazz | 53c | 252.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 243.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 213.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Jazz | 53c | 211.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 52c | 203.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Jazz | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jazz | 53c | 195.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Jazz | 53c | 193.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Jazz | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 185.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 47c | 179.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 57c | 170.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 44c | 151.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 145.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Jazz | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 120.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Grizzlies | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Jazz | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Grizzlies | 37c | 104.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Jazz | 53c | 104.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Jazz | 53c | 103.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Jazz | 53c | 103.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Grizzlies | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 53c | 95.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Jazz | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Jazz | 53c | 89.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 77.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Jazz | 53c | 77.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Jazz | 52c | 70.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Jazz | 53c | 66.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grizzlies | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Grizzlies | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Grizzlies | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Jazz | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Jazz | 53c | 56.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grizzlies | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Grizzlies | 45c | 54.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Grizzlies | 47c | 46.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 44.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…a87dbacked Jazz | 53c | 40.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Grizzlies | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Jazz | 52c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Jazz | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jazz | 54c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Jazz | 54c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Jazz | 53c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0867backed Grizzlies | 48c | 34.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Jazz | 53c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. JazzJazz won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.