TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Grizzlies, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$645,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Grizzlies37c51,316$18,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,986.9311137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Jazz63c43,458$27,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,079.3811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz70c26,729$18,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,944.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jazz67c23,662$15,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,871.920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies20c22,916$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.0566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Grizzlies37c16,114$5,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,973.3649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies0c15,680$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.857211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies27c14,618$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.612,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies26c14,613$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,871.781,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies3c12,892$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9725753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz61c11,509$7,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.611,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies7c10,957$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Grizzlies22c9,677$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.4625226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies6c8,866$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies21c8,594$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies35c7,436$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.771,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Grizzlies33c7,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies38c7,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz65c6,308$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.379857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Jazz64c6,076$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.0617250%86 W · 86 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Grizzlies8c5,757$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.471450%7 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c5,553$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.268820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Jazz71c5,387$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.6623833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Jazz78c5,325$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.4811335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jazz63c4,943$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.4189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz60c4,935$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies1c4,303$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies40c4,102$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.7787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies5c4,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Jazz62c3,115$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.3718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies1c3,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Jazz59c2,946$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.747142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies5c2,910$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.035,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3366…407cbacked Jazz60c2,674$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz62c2,301$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Grizzlies37c2,288$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.733450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Grizzlies40c2,251$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.5714745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies1c2,216$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.698783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Grizzlies1c2,126$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.358547.1%40 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz63c2,122$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.261,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Grizzlies29c2,028$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0118632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Jazz56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88012756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80048944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffb…2bbcbacked Grizzlies40c1,928$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz61c1,908$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Grizzlies23c1,795$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5515219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies38c1,636$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies6c1,625$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.071,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies38c1,521$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Grizzlies33c1,491$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2813544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Grizzlies37c1,485$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Grizzlies13c1,482$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.833344.1%147 W · 186 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz63c1,474$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.072,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Jazz61c1,362$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Jazz64c1,252$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6712257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Jazz62c1,207$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Grizzlies8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies41c1,138$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6725546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Grizzlies4c1,126$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.083616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz63c1,025$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Grizzlies38c1,013$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1213441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies24c1,011$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Grizzlies37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…b772backed Jazz60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Grizzlies41c997.54$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.998756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Jazz62c977.18$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.6513245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Grizzlies40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.66328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Jazz63c907.61$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Jazz60c878.4$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.367656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb494…cc5bbacked Grizzlies40c867.6$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.041936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1319…b15abacked Jazz61c864.29$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.072231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…c47ebacked Jazz61c827.71$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…453cbacked Jazz60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Jazz60c810.98$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.919343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Grizzlies37c780.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.663348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Jazz63c770.31$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.276764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Grizzlies34c768.32$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2317962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies17c757.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.911,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Jazz65c753.08$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5860444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…45c7backed Jazz58c724.09$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1515649.4%77 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Grizzlies40c723$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.216849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jazz62c716.01$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f1…06e1backed Jazz61c699.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Grizzlies31c691.29$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8123630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Jazz64c641.05$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7822349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies14c627.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Grizzlies31c627.68$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Jazz63c616.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.924953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Jazz64c612.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.672673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Grizzlies32c605.79$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.496450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Grizzlies40c602.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Jazz63c597.22$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.975143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Grizzlies32c589.49$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Jazz67c585.19$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Grizzlies40c578.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1217946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies8c576.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.022,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies24c565.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2124937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.