NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8630799d89bf87086883df08ac820a8992249a69ffb33d9b2e0f4435dc9f696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.84 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,082$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 17c | 937.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 76c | 874.37$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…8715backed Over | 53c | 828.11$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 761.71$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 50c | 589.26$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 559.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 551.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…2f95backed Under | 55c | 533.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 367.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 230.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 167.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 33c | 160.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 135.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 55c | 133.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…1143backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Over | 47c | 81.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Under | 54c | 72.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 51c | 55.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 45.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 47c | 41.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 34.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Under | 55c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Over | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 55c | 26.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 55c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked Under | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…bf9ebacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. JazzJazz won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.