TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c10,752$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c8,812$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.062,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under39c3,103$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.6619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over51c2,785$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.7213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over34c2,735$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.772,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over47c1,658$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.081,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c1,636$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.671,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under1c1,495$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under50c1,410$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.221485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c1,285$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over9c1,154$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.6652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c1,018$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over37c991.49$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.525738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under22c818.82$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Over35c789.78$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c746.51$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under10c685$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c627.81$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under10c590$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over36c563.14$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.27646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c499.98$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under9c491.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over34c480.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9321247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c475.71$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under10c472$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under57c423.41$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.426450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under55c344.03$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.516147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7f…3f13backed Under69c343.24$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under4c320$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c311.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c307.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under45c301$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.775334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c289.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under40c279.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.311,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Over43c274.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.192853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c273.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under57c269.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under50c252.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3620146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under49c247.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1826755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c247.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under9c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9543352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Under52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over34c192.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.774153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6513148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under15c168.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c161.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under49c148.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7115055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under66c131.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.511,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Under58c113.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.943167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c109.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.451,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c106.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.435,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c101.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under46c100.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.577642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.731,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6740053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under60c92.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under54c85.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under61c85.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c84.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over52c84.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3423549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c78.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under76c77.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.155364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c72.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over52c69.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5416153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under60c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Under52c67.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under59c65.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over48c62.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under61c61.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9444347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c56.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under19c55.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6213950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under49c55.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.985752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over51c54.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.73948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.191,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2411850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcebd…2502backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.253545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under59c47.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over51c47.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4510743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Over52c46.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.423860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c45.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0223840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under56c43.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c43.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7219254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under49c42.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9310046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4b…52c0backed Over30c39.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over53c39.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under68c38.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5511455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under52c38.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Under42c38.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2225143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under59c35.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over51c35.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.247057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under64c30.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.576747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.