NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd03739bfd8749c50bd4f47ed74a41b8e2a2376a88ff557696ba3bad26e98f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 47c | 4,329$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.85 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 2,952$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 1,705$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 60c | 1,111$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 55c | 929.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.29 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Over | 54c | 650.58$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 610.8$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 499.84$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 444.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Over | 54c | 338.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 53c | 311.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 48c | 303.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 44c | 290.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Under | 70c | 285.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 48c | 279$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 30c | 273.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 166.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 164.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 133.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 131.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 125.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over | 49c | 124.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 46c | 123.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 103.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 52c | 101.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Over | 55c | 86.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 61c | 74.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 72.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 70.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 49c | 69.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Under | 50c | 61.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 61.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…4039backed Under | 46c | 56.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 53c | 54.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 49.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 47.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 53c | 43.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…9901backed Under | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 59c | 41.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Over | 54c | 39.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 36.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 46c | 36.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…1253backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 50c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 43c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 48c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 61c | 23.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. JazzJazz won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.