TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c00…9901

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+77%+$30.44
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heidebacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+83%+$65.28
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$13.69
Sarasota: Garrett Johns vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$18.02
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Lehecka vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Monfils vs. Bublik: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Alexei Popyrin vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinnbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.38
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Alycia Parks vs Dalma Galfibacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.