Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab507e958496c2b7b22edcb57c7ccc8a547432d12809a643cf5cbdd112b64a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed No | 79c | 2,364$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.37 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 28c | 1,162$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 79c | 1,105$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 982.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 75c | 945.63$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.87 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 848.58$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 15c | 753.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 646.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 14c | 635.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…218abacked Yes | 22c | 570.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 22c | 515.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 15c | 487.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 459.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 18c | 435.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 15c | 415.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 410.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 23c | 406.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 19c | 374.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 78c | 326.51$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 15c | 313.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 291.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 11c | 283.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 273.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 271.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 257.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 26c | 247.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 24c | 227.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 76c | 214.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…1bbabacked Yes | 22c | 204.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 183.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 25c | 181.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 17c | 167.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 26c | 164.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 20c | 164.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 25c | 162.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…187dbacked Yes | 25c | 143.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…24a5backed Yes | 14c | 137.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 78c | 129.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 18c | 121.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 11c | 120.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 24c | 117.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…2501backed No | 66c | 116.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 20c | 116.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…09bebacked Yes | 24c | 115.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 26c | 106.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 104.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 19c | 104.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 14c | 100.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 15c | 97.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked Yes | 29c | 96.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 17c | 94.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Yes | 25c | 93.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…322fbacked Yes | 16c | 92.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…446cbacked Yes | 34c | 88.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 16c | 85.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 16c | 84.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 19c | 78.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 13c | 77.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…030abacked Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…9901backed Yes | 37c | 75.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…9a22backed Yes | 16c | 70.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 22c | 69.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 22c | 69.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed No | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 18c | 66.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…70cbbacked Yes | 29c | 66.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 18c | 63.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0971backed No | 72c | 63.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 20c | 60.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 29c | 57.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…4c96backed Yes | 23c | 56.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 37c | 50.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…3d0fbacked Yes | 21c | 49.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 48.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 79c | 45.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked Yes | 23c | 45.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…8690backed Yes | 23c | 45.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 26c | 44.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 27c | 44.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…bcebbacked No | 73c | 42.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 76c | 39.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 72c | 38.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 79c | 31.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…58afbacked No | 80c | 30.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…1b2bbacked No | 67c | 28.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ad2cbacked No | 75c | 27.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 71c | 23.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.