TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$582,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Astralis69c60,897$41,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,898.339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed B831c21,346$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,617.3272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed B831c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20025842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed B822c19,629$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.0121055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B86c14,998$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.883,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis58c10,854$6,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.5557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis68c10,099$6,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.7937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis71c10,092$7,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.013,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B831c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B831c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Astralis68c9,969$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.2212449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked B836c8,500$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.4919229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B832c7,385$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.925,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked B841c7,238$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.6317042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Astralis71c6,226$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.091,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Astralis76c6,144$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.2512465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B829c6,087$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.785,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis69c5,888$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.419645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis74c5,698$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.786,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Astralis60c5,693$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.3315264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Astralis59c4,975$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.566243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B819c4,404$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.721,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis75c4,091$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.957,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B831c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed B842c3,522$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.8221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis70c3,472$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.972,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B820c3,459$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.611,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed B842c3,454$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.877157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed B842c3,447$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.821941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked B831c3,230$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed B834c3,157$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.9236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis70c3,086$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed B815c3,049$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.442142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Astralis67c3,000$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed B832c2,973$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.3728738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B832c2,939$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.61,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B832c2,938$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.0178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis59c2,935$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.2446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fc…381abacked B821c2,844$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.483727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Astralis58c2,745$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.9836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked B827c2,611$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.832,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed B81c2,521$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1847441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9530340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B831c2,400$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.981,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked B832c2,315$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.8384454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed B810c2,180$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x918a…6a0cbacked B845c2,156$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.581421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis70c2,139$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.234,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Astralis69c2,139$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.157972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Astralis60c2,125$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.524346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Astralis69c2,081$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9823653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B833c2,025$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Astralis67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed B840c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Astralis60c1,952$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.3114362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis58c1,946$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.1814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed B842c1,943$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed B820c1,863$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.351,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B831c1,827$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.741,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis68c1,816$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.413,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis67c1,768$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.012,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B827c1,731$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked B826c1,730$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2414441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis58c1,677$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.865250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed B82c1,611$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6638868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B816c1,588$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.962,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Astralis69c1,581$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.239554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed B843c1,571$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0713453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Astralis59c1,541$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.8631345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B823c1,504$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed B84c1,484$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Astralis72c1,478$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…36b9backed B819c1,460$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.93327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed Astralis72c1,373$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.991883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+98.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis70c1,316$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.951,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked B817c1,249$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3617148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed B823c1,224$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2118442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e3…af4bbacked B838c1,200$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.893073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed B817c1,177$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked B82c1,164$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.420549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B839c1,157$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.991,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed B842c1,011$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.698032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked B82c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis58c999.97$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked B831c994$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.143452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Astralis59c991.84$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0913059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed B825c964.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B815c948.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.851,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis72c915.37$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.864,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Astralis59c901.27$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.529850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed B831c890$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.956941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis80c868.35$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6740950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Astralis59c828$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Astralis59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9127950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis59c824.21$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B840c799.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed B837c770.66$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7412452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Astralis71c756.13$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3424262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed B824c706.15$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.