CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09a18d4b2f6bf40672fb207d0f1330d57fd5e4c888d8764030c3e071b79daac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Astralis, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Astralis | 43c | 6,097$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.98 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed B8 | 30c | 3,392$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.01 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Astralis | 70c | 2,783$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed B8 | 61c | 2,730$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.67 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis | 39c | 2,630$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.7 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 52c | 2,022$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.22 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed B8 | 49c | 1,235$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.85 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed B8 | 78c | 905.55$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis | 72c | 830.82$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.68 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 50c | 786.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked B8 | 58c | 447.26$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Astralis | 50c | 388.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed B8 | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked B8 | 29c | 352$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked B8 | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Astralis | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed B8 | 62c | 289.22$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked B8 | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Astralis | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked B8 | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed B8 | 54c | 93.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked B8 | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked B8 | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed B8 | 50c | 55.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Astralis | 71c | 55.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked B8 | 55c | 53.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Astralis | 70c | 52.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed B8 | 62c | 41.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed B8 | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 34c | 31.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked B8 | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.