TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis44c5,665$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked B835c5,040$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.6444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B81c4,853$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Astralis68c4,150$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.31,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis74c2,806$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.47,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked B858c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.7817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B830c2,348$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.352,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed B844c2,196$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.420838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B829c2,077$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.131,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9b…025bbacked Astralis75c1,989$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed B844c1,708$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.757157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B821c1,704$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed B836c1,625$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.3824346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B816c1,613$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.785,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked B837c1,555$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.562,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed B853c1,544$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B827c1,434$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.261,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc778…8d85backed B851c1,420$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.583053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed B839c1,020$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B819c1,004$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.591,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Astralis78c996.77$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.639970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B850c984.76$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed B835c909.12$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis48c899.99$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B839c863.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed B847c832$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1712452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Astralis60c717.57$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.414952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Astralis69c713.07$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2711166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis56c686.36$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked B84c662$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0414742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked B840c657.71$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked B842c657.03$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1135242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B829c603.82$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.243,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Astralis59c599.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis63c593.08$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.51,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed B870c547.87$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9627950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis55c543.5$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.964,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B825c511.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed B838c502.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.631452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7097…75ddbacked Astralis72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20040950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca9e…e048backed B866c498.96$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Astralis60c489.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Astralis74c470.54$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3428644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis55c466.14$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7652834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis64c457$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed B844c441.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked B844c438.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Astralis61c396.82$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.26835.3%24 W · 44 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked B833c381.71$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.822,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked B843c365.06$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4442050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed B856c349.73$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed B841c329.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked B864c316.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5265650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B838c306.61$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.34,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B827c301.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked B838c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c0…ac76backed B849c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B832c291.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Astralis72c286.81$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0649941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed B842c279.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7630527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed B838c275.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9450846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked B835c274.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.142,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed B869c271.22$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7115954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed B844c234.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1115132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked B840c220.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.214443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed Astralis56c207.4$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.556651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Astralis48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed B845c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed B844c177.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.39631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed B844c167.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked Astralis34c163.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5718126.5%48 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed B826c151.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8921952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed Astralis70c140.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0813964%89 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d1…272fbacked B842c139.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.113938.5%15 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed B846c138.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.614135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Astralis75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8336151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked B865c129.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked B847c128.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1320549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Astralis56c121.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6113044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd230…02dbbacked B839c111.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…0dc8backed B844c106.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.77757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis36c104.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9161837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Astralis63c103.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.96450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Astralis57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4339258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed B844c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5263541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Astralis51c93.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8541640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Astralis51c93.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.843050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked B841c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Astralis41c87.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.691631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Astralis68c86.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6920145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb16…9cdcbacked B853c81.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Astralis60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed B822c79.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.594,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked B840c77.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8525045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B820c76.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.185,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.