TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of Astralis, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked B874c20,673$15,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.473,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis1c16,742$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1544743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis51c11,857$5,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis16c8,030$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.81,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis21c8,004$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.031,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis16c7,931$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.9288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B847c7,169$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.0981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis69c5,536$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.8944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed B830c5,376$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.6216152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f38…477cbacked B855c5,007$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis18c4,668$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.472,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed B831c4,099$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.8564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis6c3,725$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis18c3,594$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.531,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Astralis70c3,508$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.4122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis70c3,086$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.9264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed B832c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed B830c2,959$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.1151252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis48c2,932$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.6914144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B831c2,876$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B837c2,550$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Astralis62c2,368$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.9824346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed B853c2,008$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.7921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis55c1,774$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.722,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed Astralis60c1,723$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.21883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+98.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis59c1,714$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.071,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis46c1,605$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.126,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B833c1,494$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.0678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Astralis48c1,413$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1613453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis43c1,242$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Astralis46c1,240$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.3510133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked B861c1,137$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.069258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Astralis67c1,097$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1527950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked B849c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.741,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked B879c1,042$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.611,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Astralis1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis37c999.11$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6333452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis13c926.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.451,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis44c878.55$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis46c849.92$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9655845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis49c819.89$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked B860c817.21$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.7439970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked B852c813.79$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6217148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Astralis68c797.62$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3833457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Astralis70c699.7$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7925651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Astralis55c698.7$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0511546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Astralis55c698.7$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.059058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Astralis56c654.36$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.046060%36 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked Astralis45c651.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.486137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B867c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Astralis66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Astralis63c582.79$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9626075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis44c576.14$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.874,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Astralis57c564.07$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3910347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Astralis57c529.48$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.084555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Astralis52c521.73$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.786060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed B831c479.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked B875c479.21$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.561,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis18c475.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis22c427.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8327740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis70c420.86$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.619047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Astralis58c417.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.817857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis44c416.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.664,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Astralis59c415.88$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.853138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked B849c400.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8519741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Astralis52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20894645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed B833c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26853444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Astralis60c393.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.725658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Astralis60c393.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.723946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Astralis11c345.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis64c338.27$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked B851c329.94$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6718043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Astralis5c317$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8136334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked B874c312.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6110447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Astralis49c303.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8125846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed B832c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20424134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed B830c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Astralis49c299.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.734940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Astralis71c294.78$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.296952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd1…cfb5backed Astralis68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.162339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed Astralis70c280.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.46651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Astralis70c280.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.442651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fd…6c13backed Astralis61c279.95$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.773435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Astralis53c277.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.235064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Astralis71c276.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.526426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis62c259.89$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1336645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda7b…8857backed Astralis33c251$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.834555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed B855c246.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0883543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Astralis67c240.51$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1418261%111 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed B857c240.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3617949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis55c238.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Astralis57c225.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.953056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked B830c217.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked B855c205.51$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6520549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed B853c204.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8645244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked B819c200.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.761,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Astralis63c200.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.053661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Astralis33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6649849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.