NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f265fd3e5e78a08e063c0cdf42059486cdac7496114595bdfd8b1a19e171b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,344,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,284,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,344,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 773 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 17c | 112,378$19,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,191.3 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 18c | 98,952$17,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,064.89 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets | 73c | 66,992$49,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,203.79 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 20c | 59,640$11,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,878.01 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 77c | 55,479$42,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,708.14 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Rockets | 61c | 37,709$23,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,004.19 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 41c | 35,149$14,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 19c | 28,538$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,176.71 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves | 18c | 26,045$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,486.41 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Timberwolves | 23c | 24,121$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,572.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves | 20c | 23,800$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,040 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 18,753$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,002.08 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Timberwolves | 40c | 18,274$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.25 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rockets | 28c | 17,050$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Rockets | 77c | 16,894$13,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,055.5 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 49c | 16,829$8,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,208.87 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 15,275$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,088.55 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves | 16c | 15,252$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,782.86 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Rockets | 1c | 15,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 30c | 14,647$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,234.86 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 80c | 13,199$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,558.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 30c | 13,006$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.69 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 12,034$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,988.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 19c | 11,955$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,683.83 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 11,745$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,237.05 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Rockets | 4c | 11,539$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.52 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 74c | 10,990$8,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,187.2 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Timberwolves | 16c | 10,800$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves | 78c | 10,762$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.64 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 17c | 10,594$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.11 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 10,143$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,984.36 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Timberwolves | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 75c | 9,913$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.38 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 9,866$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Timberwolves | 21c | 9,662$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,601.71 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Timberwolves | 21c | 9,392$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,421.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 71c | 9,295$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.95 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,217$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Rockets | 79c | 9,183$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 55c | 9,132$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.36 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Rockets | 77c | 9,096$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.38 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 8,948$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,910.31 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 19c | 8,677$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.25 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed Rockets | 77c | 7,890$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 7,417$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.1 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Timberwolves | 18c | 7,320$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Rockets | 39c | 7,292$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.61 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rockets | 75c | 7,246$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.25 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Timberwolves | 18c | 6,841$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Timberwolves | 24c | 6,772$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rockets | 0c | 6,635$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…3516backed Rockets | 73c | 6,541$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Timberwolves | 37c | 6,514$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.63 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 18c | 6,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.7 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets | 21c | 6,455$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.12 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 27c | 6,224$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.47 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 18c | 6,022$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.74 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Timberwolves | 40c | 5,637$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.19 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 16c | 5,333$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Timberwolves | 28c | 5,320$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.27 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Rockets | 57c | 5,303$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.57 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.15 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…a772backed Timberwolves | 27c | 5,183$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Rockets | 70c | 5,073$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.02 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 18c | 5,008$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.99 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.96 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,521$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.21 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 4,409$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 4,379$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.17 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Timberwolves | 17c | 4,281$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Timberwolves | 19c | 4,233$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.83 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Rockets | 77c | 4,077$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.88 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Rockets | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Timberwolves | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.98 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Timberwolves | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.94 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Timberwolves | 18c | 3,929$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.37 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 18c | 3,847$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Timberwolves | 20c | 3,808$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Timberwolves | 18c | 3,615$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 19c | 3,403$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.27 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 30c | 3,186$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Rockets | 80c | 3,171$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.06 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Timberwolves | 18c | 3,078$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.2 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.96 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Timberwolves | 19c | 2,993$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 16c | 2,982$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.19 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,906$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.67 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Rockets | 31c | 2,876$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rockets | 16c | 2,834$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.27 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets | 80c | 2,780$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,728$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.66 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 31c | 2,647$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.54 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,545$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.51 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…3b78backed Rockets | 16c | 2,509$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.86 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…85ddbacked Rockets | 80c | 2,421$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.86 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Rocketsthis page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.