NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc774af7c7065cae0630e9969ab61e98bc392f560d2c5ca7ea8a2add7ec2969ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 4,951$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,508$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 39c | 2,095$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.21 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 894.39$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 785.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 47c | 489.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 398.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 62c | 185.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 178.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 172.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 45c | 158.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 136.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 48c | 135.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 62c | 92.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 62c | 89.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 62c | 87.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 45c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 71.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 61c | 57.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 53.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under | 48c | 48.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 43c | 39.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Under | 44c | 35.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 34.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 63c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…a56fbacked Under | 47c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…762bbacked Over | 61c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 63c | 16.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5this page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.