NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d7d198287546d1a6401e38e276331a7f0bd4e14369c20ba256d27cb9415c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 10,864$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.49 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 6,882$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.02 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 46c | 4,185$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.07 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Over | 53c | 2,976$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.85 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.97 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.9 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,346$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 1,023$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 48c | 952.23$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 58c | 539.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 468.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 354.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 350.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 316.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 298.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 255.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 242.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 201.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 56c | 183.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 41c | 176.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 133.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 67c | 110.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 59c | 96.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 59c | 64.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 39.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…8804backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 55c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 36.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 51c | 33.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Under | 53c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 27.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Under | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…22b5backed Over | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 24.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…762bbacked Over | 58c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.