TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c7,163$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under51c3,378$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.7887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,076$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under41c1,906$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.1879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Under52c1,658$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.926960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under38c1,488$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over63c1,291$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.871,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50635049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c855.29$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.541,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c852.11$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c849.84$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c840.25$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.722,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Over58c839.67$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under50c688.39$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over60c631.14$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under48c540.36$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3120146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c521.78$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.091,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under5c490.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x475f…7f9bbacked Under45c380.8$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14115543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c273.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.691,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…ac42backed Under52c211.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1219254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over55c175.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.227059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c173.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over55c166.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c165.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over61c137.24$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.521,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.595160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c132.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c129.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under44c124.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Under52c121.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.131560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over62c118.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c117.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c101.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over53c98.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3647738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over61c98.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.423549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c98.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.271,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over62c97.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.137154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over50c95.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2510743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.569153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5636852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.683638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid+51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over62c82.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.317057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4b…52c0backed Under18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over48c72.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under52c66.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4753453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Under52c65.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.996550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c65.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Under46c61.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.492839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under44c54.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8136153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under48c50.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.216261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03df…1dbabacked Over50c50.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x454e…f684backed Over61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.734546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2814051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under52c45.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.679046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under28c44.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under52c43.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.416741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c43.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over56c40.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9912160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2414253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c36.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50cf…8d05backed Under45c35.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba0…980fbacked Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73577.1%27 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5121649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a06…921abacked Under44c30.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c29.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under43c29.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4611232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcd90…50f6backed Under50c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under45c25.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.319634.4%33 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over52c25.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.023066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over59c23.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.557650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Under52c22.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6518453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Under48c21.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2314448.6%70 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46876.5%52 W · 16 L+12.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over62c19.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4339449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3232957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Over61c18.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.125848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.