NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2442d3d3b6ac64f5bdc0eed4e2143c75cef74a37867128b12ca787f6f9f273c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 50c | 96,444$48,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,507.44 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 56,074$28,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,734.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Timberwolves | 49c | 52,538$25,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,794.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 53c | 36,932$19,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,282.39 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 46c | 30,598$14,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075.3 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Rockets | 47c | 17,428$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.97 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 17,059$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.45 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 12,989$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.79 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 54c | 11,617$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,477$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.66 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 54c | 11,250$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 52c | 9,888$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 53c | 9,850$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.45 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 51c | 7,809$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…69acbacked Rockets | 51c | 7,618$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 54c | 6,768$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.25 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 50c | 6,750$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,652$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Rockets | 51c | 5,646$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.22 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,488$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,407$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.64 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 66c | 5,286$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Rockets | 46c | 5,259$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Rockets | 47c | 4,920$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.23 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,771$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.96 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,577$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,566$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.18 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rockets | 52c | 4,106$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.24 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 41c | 3,548$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.28 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,269$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.3 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Rockets | 47c | 3,109$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.23 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Rockets | 49c | 3,030$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.87 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Rockets | 51c | 2,780$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.08 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Rockets | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,661$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.32 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,078$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.88 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Rockets | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.98 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,925$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 42c | 1,701$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,594$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.81 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 43c | 1,525$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,471$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,408$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,366$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.09 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,355$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,198$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.07 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.13 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 52c | 1,036$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.42 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 998.25$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Timberwolves | 50c | 973.08$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Rockets | 51c | 972.5$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rockets | 50c | 956.19$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Rockets | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 930.12$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 51c | 928.72$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.33 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Rockets | 43c | 904.61$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.57 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 903.9$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 40c | 852.67$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 46c | 837.97$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Rockets | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Rockets | 52c | 714.35$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.87 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 52c | 687.97$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Rockets | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Rockets | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 673.85$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.06 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 659.6$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Rockets | 18c | 655.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Rockets | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets | 50c | 621.19$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.51 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 619.45$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 617.37$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 598.89$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Timberwolves | 54c | 595$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Rockets | 52c | 592.06$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.87 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 563.26$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 563.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 562.82$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Rockets | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 558.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 555.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.36 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…132bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Timberwolves | 50c | 492.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Timberwolves | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 478.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Rockets | 50c | 456.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Rockets | 50c | 442.18$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Rockets | 48c | 441.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)this page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.