NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574ed5c942092c8741d1129415dbe85537390930cdbeca325a0b2315ec9f6000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 37c | 2,476$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.58 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under | 42c | 882.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 62c | 791.26$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.74 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 45c | 556.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 65c | 460.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…2359backed Under | 42c | 270.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 252.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Over | 79c | 249.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 42c | 206.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 202.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 60c | 197.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 42c | 195.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 58c | 188.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 20c | 172.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 43c | 162.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 30c | 149.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 42c | 144.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 64c | 124.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 123.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 40c | 108.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 103.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 55c | 88.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 83.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…1143backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 63c | 75.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 74.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Over | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 42c | 62.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 64c | 62.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 64c | 62.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 64c | 62.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 64c | 62.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 64c | 62.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Under | 42c | 53.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 39c | 49.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 40c | 48.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 41c | 47.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 42c | 45.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…a638backed Under | 46c | 42.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…571ebacked Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…c3fabacked Under | 45c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 63c | 22.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…6692backed Over | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +218.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…ddc7backed Over | 61c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked Over | 62c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5this page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.