NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbbf63b8b74e38d7607191dca4a8d047f7202645620046f773581f9e136af6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rockets | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,749.96 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 51c | 66,272$33,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,495.73 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 26,836$13,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,149.69 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 16,133$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.01 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Rockets | 46c | 15,013$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.64 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 13,418$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.84 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,564$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.72 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,424$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.18 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 56c | 6,758$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 6,355$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.49 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Rockets | 49c | 5,913$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.36 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Rockets | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Rockets | 53c | 3,641$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.06 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Rockets | 43c | 3,509$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.77 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Rockets | 50c | 3,492$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 3,418$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.85 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,987$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.02 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,971$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.01 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Rockets | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,805$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.5 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,666$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.55 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,379$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.67 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets | 50c | 2,376$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.77 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,347$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 48c | 2,038$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.51 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Rockets | 52c | 1,943$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.36 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,219$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Timberwolves | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 619.7$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Rockets | 49c | 582.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 50c | 489.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Rockets | 48c | 394.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Rockets | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Rockets | 43c | 380.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 52c | 348.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets | 49c | 324.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Rockets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Rockets | 49c | 276.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Rockets | 40c | 259.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 53c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 52c | 242.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Rockets | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rockets | 18c | 196.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Rockets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Timberwolves | 51c | 191.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Rockets | 51c | 175.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 174.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Rockets | 47c | 169.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Rockets | 50c | 164$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Timberwolves | 50c | 152.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Timberwolves | 50c | 148.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Rockets | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Rockets | 50c | 131.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…ac72backed Timberwolves | 51c | 123.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Rockets | 51c | 123.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 120.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets | 49c | 109.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 103.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Rockets | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…2fc6backed Rockets | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Rockets | 56c | 96.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Timberwolves | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Rockets | 52c | 91.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 84.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Rockets | 52c | 83.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Rockets | 49c | 72.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Rockets | 51c | 71.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Rockets | 51c | 64.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…c3bebacked Rockets | 47c | 59.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +81%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 45.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed Rockets | 51c | 42.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed Rockets | 49c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Timberwolves | 57c | 39.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Rockets | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Rockets | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Rockets | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Timberwolves | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…9901backed Rockets | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…d0ffbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 32.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6d55backed Timberwolves | 47c | 32.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Rockets | 53c | 29.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Timberwolves | 58c | 29.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Rockets | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…0aa3backed Rockets | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Rockets | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Rockets | 51c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…a882backed Rockets | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…1a1bbacked Rockets | 52c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)this page
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.