TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e89…2fc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$32.76
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$21.13
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$24.73
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.08
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+41%+$120.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+153.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$42.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.