Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6050e74cf9555262b6114a23bc24f651c3d8f92f4d0560556dea17d71906946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 48c | 11,807$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 5,481$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.99 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 2,102$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.63 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,754$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 59c | 1,073$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 57c | 873.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 788.28$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.53 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 783$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 43c | 705.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 674.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 61c | 655.21$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 614.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 573.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.58 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 276.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Over | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Over | 30c | 170.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 59c | 170.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 26c | 149.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 141.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 133.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 51c | 115.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 66c | 106.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 105.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 99.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Over | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 62c | 76.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 76.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 55c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 63c | 71.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…a1e4backed Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 63.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 63.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 65c | 63.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 61.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 63c | 59.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 49c | 59.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 58.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 58.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 53c | 56.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 45c | 49.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 50c | 49.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 67c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 36c | 45.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 67c | 43.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 72c | 42.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…2fc6backed Under | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 38.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 50c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 37c | 32.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked Over | 78c | 28.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 67cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 65c | 23.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 67c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.