Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21134d8f075ca756c2b67ff981e586dc6ce5e3da4112892e966d9d394453a821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,987,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,390,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,987,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 323,687$91,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,105.66 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed MOUZ | 74c | 242,993$179,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,958.16 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ | 50c | 221,696$110,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,583.39 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 150,222$78,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,897.12 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 94,201$39,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,694.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed MOUZ | 55c | 63,934$35,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,770.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 53,722$24,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,174.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 43,290$24,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,247.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 37,909$16,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,680.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 71c | 35,429$25,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,274.39 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 70c | 34,092$23,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…dfd3backed MOUZ | 79c | 31,892$25,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed MOUZ | 50c | 25,961$12,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,988.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 76c | 25,738$19,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.08 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 24,651$11,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,476.5 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked MOUZ | 56c | 23,846$13,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked MOUZ | 35c | 21,914$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,269.15 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 21,489$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 19,456$8,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,755.2 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 48c | 17,737$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.22 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 16,945$7,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,355.66 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 55c | 16,873$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 15,423$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.44 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 15,285$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.25 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 13,430$6,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,043.68 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 13,269$8,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.07 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 13,183$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 12,642$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.14 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed MOUZ | 56c | 11,750$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 55c | 11,737$6,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.71 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 57c | 11,690$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.87 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 54c | 10,490$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.01 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 10,415$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,413.15 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed MOUZ | 68c | 10,173$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed MOUZ | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 70c | 9,823$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.43 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 9,435$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.29 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 9,401$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.4 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed MOUZ | 54c | 9,241$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.87 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 8,949$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed MOUZ | 44c | 8,845$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 73c | 8,463$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.6 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 8,456$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.56 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 8,122$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.39 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed MOUZ | 56c | 7,753$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed MOUZ | 70c | 6,938$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.14 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 68c | 6,899$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.65 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 6,789$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 6,561$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.66 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 55c | 6,263$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.47 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 6,134$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 6,058$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.45 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 72c | 5,860$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.47 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 5,485$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.94 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 5,388$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.04 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 5,372$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.26 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 61c | 4,978$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.51 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 4,961$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed MOUZ | 55c | 4,925$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 4,921$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 4,915$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.98 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 4,882$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 4,862$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.39 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 4,546$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.42 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 4,500$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.46 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 55c | 4,480$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 63c | 4,373$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.21 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed MOUZ | 45c | 4,243$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 4,102$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.65 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 62c | 4,004$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.35 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…c498backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,997$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 3,889$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cc4ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 3,868$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,806$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.59 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,785$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 3,741$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 3,670$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 3,624$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.17 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 3,602$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.39 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed MOUZ | 70c | 3,588$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 3,551$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.16 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 3,524$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.71 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed MOUZ | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 3,481$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.54 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,367$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.65 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 3,338$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.14 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 3,241$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 3,146$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.08 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 3,141$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.43 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 3,055$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.36 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed MOUZ | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked MOUZ | 74c | 2,492$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 2,466$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.21 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,370$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 2,346$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.98 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,255$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.