Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fbcf1d498d4175f2a9e2bbe90d88759e79557e7e660b50124f8e32f0a4da7d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 24,622$11,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 38c | 23,457$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 10c | 18,435$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.28 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 52c | 15,362$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.08 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 11,350$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.5 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 10,094$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.13 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 29c | 9,460$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.3 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 42c | 8,542$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.59 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 8,176$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.51 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 6,730$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.22 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,467$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.43 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,869$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.92 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ | 25c | 3,855$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.75 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 3,390$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.11 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 3,381$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.1 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 46c | 3,313$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.52 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,250$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked MOUZ | 32c | 3,039$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.57 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 2,757$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.62 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 24c | 2,665$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,635$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.66 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,593$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.27 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 38c | 2,525$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.35 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 2,351$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.66 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,330$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.59 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 23c | 2,253$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,197$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,009$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.75 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,870$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.92 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,844$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 1,807$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.01 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,775$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.57 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 1,649$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.44 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 1,591$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 1,588$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.23 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,541$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.92 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 21c | 1,490$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,453$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.24 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,434$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.13 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,431$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,311$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.37 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,105$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,046$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MOUZ | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed MOUZ | 55c | 993.74$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.86 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 991.79$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.57 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 55c | 981.85$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.02 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 968.79$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.01 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed MOUZ | 9c | 957.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 945$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 932.64$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…aa64backed MOUZ | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…d1e5backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 899.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 32c | 886.14$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 48c | 861.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.55 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 846.91$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed MOUZ | 38c | 827.13$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 780$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 52c | 741.1$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked MOUZ | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ | 40c | 702.07$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 691.75$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 30c | 691.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 53c | 689.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.17 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 32c | 672.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 41c | 660.37$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 622.83$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.55 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 620.51$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed MOUZ | 53c | 611.29$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 605.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked MOUZ | 37c | 600.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed MOUZ | 45c | 597.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 595.95$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 34c | 588.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 565.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 532.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 498.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 491.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 473.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed MOUZ | 42c | 458.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 455.08$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked MOUZ | 43c | 452.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 448.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed MOUZ | 54c | 437.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed MOUZ | 45c | 431.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 42c | 430.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 404.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 393.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 26c | 391.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed MOUZ | 53c | 377.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed MOUZ | 26c | 368.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.