NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1489bd88837bd3fa16f0ecfa417603583569809346e1be7fc7f6c6bc9e929299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 78c | 86,526$67,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,868.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Flyers | 42c | 58,819$24,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,087.59 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Penguins | 58c | 48,058$27,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,873.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 57c | 40,195$22,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,910.87 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 58c | 19,746$11,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,452.64 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Flyers | 42c | 13,631$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.83 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Flyers | 43c | 8,560$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…6a83backed Penguins | 17c | 7,116$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 43c | 7,062$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.1 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 31c | 7,037$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.48 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Flyers | 73c | 6,141$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.19 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Penguins | 57c | 5,522$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.52 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Penguins | 58c | 4,958$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 78c | 4,512$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.53 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flyers | 43c | 4,492$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.49 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 57c | 4,293$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.03 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Flyers | 43c | 3,895$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 43c | 3,863$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.02 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Penguins | 58c | 3,607$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.92 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Flyers | 67c | 3,441$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Penguins | 58c | 3,361$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 42c | 3,278$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.35 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Penguins | 58c | 3,132$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 44c | 3,100$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.75 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Flyers | 42c | 2,945$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Flyers | 44c | 2,878$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.61 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Flyers | 44c | 2,871$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.95 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Flyers | 44c | 2,863$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.54 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 56c | 2,814$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Penguins | 58c | 2,522$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.49 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…232bbacked Flyers | 43c | 2,393$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Flyers | 43c | 2,221$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.11 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Penguins | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.91 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Penguins | 23c | 2,045$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,980$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.63 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Penguins | 32c | 1,864$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.13 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Penguins | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.86 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Penguins | 37c | 1,734$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.11 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Penguins | 58c | 1,728$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.19 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Penguins | 33c | 1,728$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Penguins | 12c | 1,629$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flyers | 61c | 1,563$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.94 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Penguins | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Penguins | 59c | 1,425$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,365$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Flyers | 45c | 1,291$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…c711backed Penguins | 58c | 1,280$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1251…4ac5backed Penguins | 58c | 1,277$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…06a2backed Flyers | 43c | 1,273$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…26c9backed Penguins | 58c | 1,265$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,256$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Penguins | 57c | 1,230$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.1 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Flyers | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.12 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Penguins | 56c | 1,110$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.59 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e7…765fbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,103$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 40c | 1,094$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Flyers | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.51 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Penguins | 11c | 1,011$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Penguins | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Penguins | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers | 42c | 999.78$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Penguins | 57c | 996.73$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 1c | 993.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Flyers | 64c | 977$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.72 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 57c | 959.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.19 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 51c | 864.03$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins | 50c | 811.02$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Penguins | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Flyers | 50c | 785.76$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.23 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Penguins | 57c | 780.59$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.55 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 43c | 780.37$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.81 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Flyers | 42c | 772.51$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…0547backed Penguins | 58c | 756.31$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 13c | 751.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins | 11c | 725.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Flyers | 78c | 723.09$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Penguins | 49c | 714.04$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.44 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…9166backed Penguins | 58c | 703.32$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Flyers | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.87 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…e38ebacked Penguins | 58c | 674.46$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Flyers | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Penguins | 4c | 605.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Flyers | 42c | 603.67$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…1420backed Flyers | 44c | 585.24$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…aa36backed Flyers | 43c | 579.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Penguins | 59c | 578.61$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Flyers | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…70dbbacked Penguins | 58c | 546.38$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb2…b316backed Penguins | 58c | 538.09$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flyers | 62c | 532.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Penguins | 3c | 529.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Penguins | 32c | 526.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…c044backed Penguins | 58c | 525.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…208cbacked Penguins | 58c | 516.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 3.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-2.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.