TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof G2, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed G238c175,524$67,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,4143438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Gentle Mates61c147,021$89,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,338.6622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Gentle Mates63c69,046$43,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,547.1939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed G239c26,467$10,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,322.2811655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked G238c25,116$9,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,630.344738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Gentle Mates61c25,000$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,749.933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed G239c24,703$9,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6348552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Gentle Mates62c21,068$13,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.8425842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Gentle Mates63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.977147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff32…1f91backed G238c18,251$6,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,926.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G237c16,836$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabca…714cbacked G20c12,231$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Gentle Mates60c9,941$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.496160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked G238c5,086$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.587948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Gentle Mates61c4,485$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.2412552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Gentle Mates61c3,116$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.285543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Gentle Mates61c2,941$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.843158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed G237c2,766$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.5422142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gentle Mates61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Gentle Mates64c1,998$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9735236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked G239c1,945$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.4410737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gentle Mates64c1,900$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Gentle Mates63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9829858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked G237c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.14944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Gentle Mates62c1,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38510058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Gentle Mates63c929.64$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9416047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked G237c854.43$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.145843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Gentle Mates62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x845e…3ed3backed Gentle Mates62c783.76$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Gentle Mates64c712.28$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4211846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked G260c688.52$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0635449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Gentle Mates62c600.92$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.643638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed G238c521.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.211936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed G237c490.72$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.571,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked G237c461.86$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8921655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates45c418.05$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.633,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed G256c354.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6538456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Gentle Mates63c349.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6724055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Gentle Mates64c300.37$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked G239c259$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.011936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed G239c239.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.458032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Gentle Mates63c232.73$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Gentle Mates62c222.22$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2127556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed G237c220.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed G235c208.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9613044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7e…8301backed G237c179.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked G237c176.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4318443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed G258c161.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5853850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Gentle Mates65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7222734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed G239c137.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed G237c132.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1318352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed G237c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.112744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked G237c126.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed G254c125.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1916444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed G240c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.218748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7420…4567backed G249c106$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Gentle Mates63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed G250c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Gentle Mates61c90.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.165648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61dd…29d8backed G238c87.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked G237c86.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed G226c79.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed G237c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.37per pick45cpaid-84.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked G237c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.877252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada1…1b60backed G227c77.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Gentle Mates61c74.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.119860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked G260c73.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9261754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked G251c72.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed G237c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0620732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed G238c63.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.372133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Gentle Mates47c62.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.522650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed G260c56.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.167950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed G236c53.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.119251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed G236c52.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e1…ecb4backed G238c52.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed G237c51.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed G238c50.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410856.5%61 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed G259c49.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2516457.9%95 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c0…a02dbacked Gentle Mates62c48.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Gentle Mates74c48.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6627848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Gentle Mates64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…4020backed Gentle Mates64c42.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed G237c41.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.420150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Gentle Mates44c40.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed G239c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Gentle Mates62c39.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8528856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed G237c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.436453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed G234c37.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed G239c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed G234c37.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc7…3778backed G237c36.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked Gentle Mates60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…c546backed G237c34.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e8…f42ebacked Gentle Mates61c32.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed G236c32.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5411341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked G231c32.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1f6d…83c6backed G238c30.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked G238c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.447260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…d286backed G239c29.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.567262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked G237c28.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6848845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.