TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96c0…a02d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$57.96
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.77
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.9
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$109.29
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.86
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$88.84
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$38.46
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.02
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.88
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$89.28
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.13
Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$52.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$43.45
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.31
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$295.77
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.47
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.