NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd1af2bc73dfabbc4913c87437d205bade13b407e84fe5cd4b65a4f0964cca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 62c | 98,105$60,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,737.09 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 38c | 86,351$32,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,537.75 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 7,836$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 1,300$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 48c | 1,262$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.33 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 794.71$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 39c | 615.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 433$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 39c | 387$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 44c | 282.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 250.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 228.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 48c | 208.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 39c | 202$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 199.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 39c | 187$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 39c | 152.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 55c | 146.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 60c | 91.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 39c | 75.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…a02dbacked Under | 39c | 63.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 59c | 58.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 50.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 56c | 40.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 59c | 36.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 40c | 34.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 60c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 62c | 31.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 39c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…f42bbacked Over | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 59c | 17.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. KingsKings won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.