NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051febf2194df6391fecc8530ed85f49789c3a29cc4064e0a18bb2ee4b6c18a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 29,228$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,029.36 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 22,273$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,691 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 6,147$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.39 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 1,911$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.47 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,874$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 54c | 1,253$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 942.79$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…c8aabacked Over | 49c | 407.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Under | 51c | 340.37$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 41c | 303$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…6adfbacked Under | 52c | 264$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…411bbacked Over | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 258.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 234.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 221.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 217.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 164.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 150.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 49c | 148.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 58c | 111.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 67.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 48c | 65.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 52c | 58.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 52.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…f226backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 48.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 58c | 40.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 48c | 36.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Over | 49c | 30.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 50c | 27.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…44c3backed Over | 49c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9427…8cdabacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 71c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…0b0dbacked Under | 70c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. KingsKings won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.