TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,330,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,334,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes55c231,068$127,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,550.2720354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes54c173,978$93,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,027.311,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Senators45c127,501$57,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,500.7316442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Senators49c108,289$52,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,959.0512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes54c83,788$45,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,542.5167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes56c82,627$45,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,754.8237754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Senators44c78,025$34,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,049.210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Senators46c74,838$34,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,425.628447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Senators45c74,142$33,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,122.4514650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Senators49c61,899$30,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,483.067038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators44c59,245$26,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,015.1424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Senators44c53,098$23,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,363.1611644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes54c43,637$23,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,959.5418452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Senators45c33,300$14,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,98548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Senators48c29,208$14,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,019.834438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Senators48c29,064$13,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,950.728240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Senators45c27,933$12,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,506.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators45c24,630$11,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,127.41,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senators47c23,757$11,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,116.7613841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senators45c19,442$8,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,749.0856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hurricanes59c18,367$10,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,587.5740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes55c18,190$9,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,206.369260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes56c17,386$9,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.7118853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes54c14,433$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,575.7333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators21c13,366$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.0775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Senators43c13,000$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5903339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Senators44c10,831$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.0759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Senators44c10,229$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.7152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Senators44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9712950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes62c9,833$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.6785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Hurricanes55c9,730$5,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Senators45c8,600$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8688946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators46c8,421$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes55c8,012$4,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.859157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Hurricanes50c7,118$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.682365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Hurricanes61c7,026$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.766750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators41c6,444$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes76c6,329$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.841,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hurricanes54c5,497$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.6115949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Senators3c5,456$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.524141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Hurricanes55c5,446$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.4816656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senators45c5,319$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.3320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Senators42c4,935$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.7527044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Hurricanes57c4,794$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.461478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Senators46c4,630$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.8461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators41c4,391$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senators45c4,294$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.5876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Senators43c4,215$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.6913850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators45c4,213$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.591,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators45c3,962$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.1525447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hurricanes55c3,498$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.2530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes80c3,323$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.922,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Senators41c3,298$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.457737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Senators1c3,079$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Senators47c3,071$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.0326154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Senators35c3,031$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.3411251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Senators44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.995749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes57c2,953$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.9931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Senators46c2,903$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.2913333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Senators50c2,895$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.6315265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Senators44c2,762$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.343650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Senators45c2,677$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.6620450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Senators47c2,460$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.586527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators44c2,416$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.041,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Senators44c2,409$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.134748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Senators15c2,373$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8829533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Senators51c2,314$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.1933234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Senators45c2,210$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.431,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Hurricanes55c2,189$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.467761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Senators45c2,153$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.647244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Senators44c2,124$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.5926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Senators49c2,095$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Senators45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.1422946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hurricanes68c1,899$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.7714946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hurricanes54c1,801$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Hurricanes57c1,651$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.941877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Senators44c1,642$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.510663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Hurricanes51c1,627$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80016546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Senators46c1,588$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.353423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Senators42c1,578$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9516446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Hurricanes78c1,561$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes56c1,555$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes50c1,548$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.021,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators45c1,528$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7826955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Senators48c1,514$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Senators47c1,508$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.722755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Hurricanes62c1,486$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.6212654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Hurricanes54c1,459$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Hurricanes50c1,443$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.298345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Hurricanes72c1,423$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.125662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Senators44c1,387$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.012236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Hurricanes56c1,363$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.747149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Senators44c1,353$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2613437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Senators46c1,303$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.6628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Senators44c1,289$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes48c1,286$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.8810743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hurricanes55c1,265$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.422853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Senators43c1,219$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6714254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Hurricanes52c1,197$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Hurricanes56c1,169$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.