NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a9d8f6b21bc593ba2a66c898cd1fb77a38971838afe04c1877f3003f1008d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 12,633$6,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.53 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed Under | 47c | 12,225$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 53c | 10,998$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.91 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 9,452$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.75 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 7,909$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.74 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 47c | 6,977$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.29 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 4,861$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.48 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,763$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.93 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,692$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.31 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 52c | 1,519$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 54c | 1,408$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,014$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 721.31$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Under | 62c | 476.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 441.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 51c | 429.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 327.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 307.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 304.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 47c | 288.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 286$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 53c | 278.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 49c | 241.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 220.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 206.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Under | 48c | 199.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 196.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 48c | 170.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 79c | 150.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 135.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…09c0backed Over | 52c | 78.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…398cbacked Under | 49c | 75.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 38c | 72.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…5608backed Under | 49c | 67.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…808cbacked Over | 53c | 56.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 56c | 44.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 57c | 42.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 46c | 30.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Over | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cb…1cb7backed Under | 47c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 67c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 19.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.