TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes34c231,014$78,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,472.4220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators66c150,000$99,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators66c115,638$75,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,925.0940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Senators65c43,919$28,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,604.6910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes34c40,234$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,733.2637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes35c37,268$13,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,242.5118452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Senators3c31,152$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes35c18,965$6,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,330.869260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Senators67c15,683$10,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,507.7440356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Senators66c14,170$9,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,317.2659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes35c6,956$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.0233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators3c4,018$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.552,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators67c3,921$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.9439752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes32c3,812$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.8610743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Senators67c2,926$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes62c2,584$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.172,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senators54c2,580$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.6838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senators66c2,479$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.3976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Hurricanes22c2,312$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Senators66c2,271$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.119038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Senators48c1,970$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.593259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Senators55c1,969$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.129533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes35c1,897$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.959157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes34c1,806$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hurricanes34c1,806$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6819759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Hurricanes35c1,644$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.17761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Senators54c1,603$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.288345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators63c1,245$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.113,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Senators67c1,177$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.1210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hurricanes35c926.57$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.2722853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Senators68c826.84$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.252250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Senators36c802.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1412733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8c…e77dbacked Hurricanes51c765$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Senators68c735.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2136852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Senators66c719.57$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Senators67c719.24$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.8920552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Hurricanes34c570.09$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0415051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hurricanes35c530.42$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3315554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators55c504.79$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.721,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Senators58c504.69$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.435240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Senators67c501.54$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senators67c497.94$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Senators67c489.67$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators67c482.5$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.281,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hurricanes55c426.21$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6523950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Hurricanes35c404.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0410357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Hurricanes33c372.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.713756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Senators67c368.01$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.356046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Senators67c365.75$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0510359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Senators58c347.78$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.782857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hurricanes47c345.54$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0741050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Hurricanes35c323.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.243666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hurricanes32c301.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3129551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Hurricanes34c283.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9915257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators68c275.59$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.412654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Hurricanes35c274.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4414052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Senators53c266.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.53429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurricanes46c254.53$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Hurricanes37c244.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0431744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Hurricanes35c202.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.613855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Senators52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.122962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Hurricanes35c186.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.216454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes34c176.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.71,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Hurricanes35c174.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.412553.6%67 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e23…a1ebbacked Hurricanes34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Senators64c169.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7416250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Senators68c165.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7212161.2%74 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Senators67c161.55$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8332155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Hurricanes47c160.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6151343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Senators67c158.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8629052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Senators67c154.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9324352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes43c152.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.691,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Senators67c151.55$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9629053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Senators68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0811248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Senators68c142.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hurricanes34c142.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6111650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Hurricanes34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2219153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Senators70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.24360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Senators49c138.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Senators73c121.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.946852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Hurricanes35c120.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.476459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Senators70c112.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5681157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Senators66c111.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5920857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Senators66c108.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.247753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Senators68c104.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.888659.3%51 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf44f…9897backed Senators68c102.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.426947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7d…5e40backed Senators68c100.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.665855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Senators53c98.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.991450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Senators67c98.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6714245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Hurricanes34c96.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3927957.7%161 W · 118 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Hurricanes34c94.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1110755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes32c92.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.291,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Senators54c89.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.646550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Hurricanes33c87.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Senators58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.745556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Hurricanes35c82.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.544158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…15d1backed Hurricanes31c81.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Hurricanes35c80.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.317227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Senators69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Hurricanes31c77.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.776142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.