NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe826bff0f84a1d2ae126f5c5f4bacd3aae4e6ec6489ac9e71b122b2039fae9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 74c | 4,324$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 26c | 3,993$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.26 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 3,484$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.33 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 2,512$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 26c | 1,811$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,334$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 74c | 1,273$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.56 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 74c | 1,203$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 53c | 1,018$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.27 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 49c | 884.97$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.64 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Under | 26c | 698.64$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 26c | 689.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 53c | 522.56$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.09 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 50c | 491.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 25c | 488.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 45c | 431.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 75c | 403.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 393.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…c63dbacked Under | 25c | 359.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 308.37$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 74c | 299.04$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 61c | 274.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 25c | 273.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 26c | 220.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 216.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Under | 45c | 202.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 48c | 201.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Under | 49c | 194.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 26c | 185.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 45c | 159.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 48c | 158.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Under | 48c | 142.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 138.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 24c | 128.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Over | 76c | 115.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 76c | 107.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Over | 45c | 84.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 80.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 25c | 77.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 27c | 59.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 50.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 33c | 49.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 52c | 44.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 39.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Over | 55c | 35.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Over | 52c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 75c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 55c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 76c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.