NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9794ba9065a0a527d01167bc4be101ad7713c995fd5a1da9d1ef68032e74f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,060,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,060,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Canadiens | 38c | 474,108$180,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,531.7 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 62c | 337,351$209,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,157.73 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lightning | 65c | 61,838$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,999.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Lightning | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Lightning | 62c | 29,316$18,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,175.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 59c | 24,756$14,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,650.52 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Lightning | 62c | 24,430$15,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,146.6 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 39c | 22,151$8,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,512.39 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 44c | 21,776$9,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,101.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens | 35c | 21,503$7,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,889.49 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lightning | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 62c | 19,544$12,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,117.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 61c | 17,075$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.31 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 62c | 17,067$10,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,511.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 54c | 15,014$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.98 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 60c | 13,211$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Canadiens | 39c | 12,497$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,648.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.79 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 61c | 11,167$6,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,811.86 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lightning | 52c | 10,433$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.78 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 10,057$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,326.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lightning | 39c | 10,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.97 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…dc3cbacked Canadiens | 21c | 9,072$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +365.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens | 39c | 8,432$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.84 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Canadiens | 49c | 6,300$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Canadiens | 36c | 5,861$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.31 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,815$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.94 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,675$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.65 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Lightning | 5c | 5,575$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lightning | 61c | 5,555$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 79c | 5,157$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.97 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lightning | 63c | 5,072$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lightning | 55c | 5,032$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.71 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Canadiens | 38c | 4,561$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.59 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 44c | 4,467$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Canadiens | 50c | 4,268$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 42c | 4,220$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.87 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Canadiens | 54c | 4,184$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens | 42c | 4,131$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Lightning | 63c | 3,943$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,801$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.33 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,765$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.87 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 39c | 3,705$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.28 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,704$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.22 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Canadiens | 61c | 3,692$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.17 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 43c | 3,681$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.46 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Lightning | 64c | 3,357$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5689backed Canadiens | 51c | 3,310$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens | 36c | 3,194$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 55c | 3,160$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.66 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Lightning | 63c | 3,085$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Canadiens | 27c | 2,971$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.87 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Lightning | 65c | 2,612$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.41 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Canadiens | 61c | 2,583$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.04 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,536$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.88 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Canadiens | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.86 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,344$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.04 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Lightning | 61c | 2,335$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.95 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,188$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,179$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.38 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 38c | 2,149$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.47 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Lightning | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lightning | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.96 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 46c | 1,997$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.65 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Canadiens | 60c | 1,984$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.51 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Lightning | 62c | 1,978$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.01 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,952$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 55c | 1,924$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lightning | 51c | 1,905$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 61c | 1,843$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.22 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lightning | 31c | 1,825$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.68 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Lightning | 65c | 1,808$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 62c | 1,686$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.16 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lightning | 46c | 1,671$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.09 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,424$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Canadiens | 79c | 1,372$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,328$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.55 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,315$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.17 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Canadiens | 27c | 1,284$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.68 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lightning | 49c | 1,218$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.8 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Lightning | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.87 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 70c | 1,169$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 42c | 1,147$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.66 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…5209backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,101$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.35 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Lightning | 57c | 1,007$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Canadiens | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…4600backed Canadiens | 38c | 983.02$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Lightning | 61c | 979.66$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3411backed Lightning | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Canadiens | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Canadiens | 57c | 960.51$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.87 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Lightning | 48c | 937.49$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 38c | 897.11$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightningthis page
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.