NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23fbeecf994abecbdedaf256ebd8d5341137740cc3d41eb425c1948c9a72a8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 1c | 15,945$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 7,326$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.25 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 55c | 6,987$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.51 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,593$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 56c | 1,934$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.8 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 44c | 1,405$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.23 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 1,288$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 49c | 1,169$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.57 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 51c | 1,132$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 1,086$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.57 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 39c | 815.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Under | 71c | 668.49$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 68c | 660.91$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 26c | 640.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 559.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.59 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 533.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 49c | 526.95$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over | 46c | 505.86$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 5c | 496.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 443.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…3b0cbacked Over | 46c | 410.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…11eabacked Under | 55c | 406.89$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 400.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 37c | 395.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 43c | 315.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 30c | 299.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 48c | 268.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 43c | 264.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…fe36backed Over | 44c | 239.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Under | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 34c | 219.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.17 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 200.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b5…e11cbacked Under | 56c | 198.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…df9cbacked Over | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 184.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…b9e9backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 65c | 156.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 55c | 153.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 56c | 136.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 127.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 59c | 124.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 55c | 101.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 28c | 100.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 75c | 91.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…9a3abacked Under | 72c | 84.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 67c | 82.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 70.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 49c | 64.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 62.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 65c | 62.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 54.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 62c | 54.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Over | 47c | 52.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Over | 47c | 52.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…2c21backed Over | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 72c | 42.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 62c | 41.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 55c | 39.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 38.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 70c | 36.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 38c | 36.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 44c | 35.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 46c | 34.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 56c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 30.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Over | 47c | 29.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 53c | 27.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 27.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…73f3backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Over | 46c | 25.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 62c | 24.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 70c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 63c | 17.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 63c | 16.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.