CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c258e65984ad419765d1378d209c702e5b7cf9d7d170557b85b4e660ecc11e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,122,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 499,920$197,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,737.91 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ | 61c | 279,727$169,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,492 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 105,000$65,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,900 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked MOUZ | 62c | 60,000$37,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 58,897$23,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,692.06 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…29aabacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 37,602$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ | 61c | 35,124$21,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,755.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed MOUZ | 61c | 29,984$18,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,791.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 60c | 26,811$16,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,724.49 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 62c | 23,222$14,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.44 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 19,000$7,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,209.96 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 62c | 15,077$9,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.94 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 14,408$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed MOUZ | 62c | 11,726$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.03 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 11,279$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.06 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 11,189$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.66 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 10,436$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.71 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 10,429$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.73 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed MOUZ | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.97 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 61c | 8,437$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.9 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ | 65c | 8,377$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.96 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 8,202$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.55 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked MOUZ | 64c | 7,714$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ | 59c | 7,061$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.64 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 61c | 7,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 6,721$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.51 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 65c | 6,554$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.73 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.93 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 62c | 5,214$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.38 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 4,742$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 52c | 4,682$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.33 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,323$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.95 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 51c | 3,979$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.76 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,705$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.1 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,661$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.76 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 3,584$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.35 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 3,403$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.24 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,370$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.52 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 63c | 3,365$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.23 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,358$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.18 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed MOUZ | 58c | 3,308$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.41 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,197$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 59c | 3,190$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.04 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 62c | 3,097$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.9 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 74c | 3,064$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.26 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,028$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.33 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…e926backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,997$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 75c | 2,982$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.46 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,933$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,932$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.01 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,890$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.18 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,890$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.84 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,888$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.59 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 2,848$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,805$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,793$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,690$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.83 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 60c | 2,557$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.35 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,523$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.86 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,516$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,407$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.66 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 62c | 2,364$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.39 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,361$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.52 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,244$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.06 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,240$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,240$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.16 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,240$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.16 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,219$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.08 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,161$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,150$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,063$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.75 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,036$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.02 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked MOUZ | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,993$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.22 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,957$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.93 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,947$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,904$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,889$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,800$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,775$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,751$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.09 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,637$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.47 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,597$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.75 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,593$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.49 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,501$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.41 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…046fbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,477$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,454$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,340$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.28 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.