CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bbc09c8f80a630d5cf99d817846cabf6b94c8ccb46c124bc8a6d8fd8841d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 94,937$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 10,147$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.5 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 53c | 5,238$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.35 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,506$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.52 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,969$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.08 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 61c | 2,906$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.09 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,746$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.83 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,616$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.29 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.88 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,437$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.65 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,291$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,147$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,011$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.74 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,758$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.6 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,734$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.61 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,682$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.99 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,554$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.34 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,402$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,243$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.48 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,218$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.73 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,130$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,057$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.87 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.31 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 1,001$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 75c | 1,001$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 961.13$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 897.26$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.74 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 865.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 842.16$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 834.26$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 60c | 740.63$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 726.31$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 725.81$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.87 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 698.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 65c | 602.69$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 73c | 600.78$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 575.28$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 561.55$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 544.66$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 541.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 539.22$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 501.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 499.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 68c | 491.59$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 43c | 480.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 471.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed MOUZ | 72c | 456.53$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 52c | 452.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…53c2backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 421.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 413.86$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed MOUZ | 73c | 406.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed MOUZ | 52c | 406.67$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…bd8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 396.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 386.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 380.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 379.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 354.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 347.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 343.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…2acabacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 337$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 301.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 301.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 292.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 290.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MOUZ | 75c | 279.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…a0d5backed MOUZ | 63c | 277.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 275.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 273.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 237$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed MOUZ | 53c | 230.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed MOUZ | 54c | 223.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 222.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 45c | 215.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 211.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 209.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 201.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed MOUZ | 37c | 197.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked MOUZ | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 178$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 169.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 165.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…fe24backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 59c | 153.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 152.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 44c | 150.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 144.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 139.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed MOUZ | 62c | 133.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.