CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c6a92c2d210ebd0adddfdf44b2ab6758c93b8e21ab00563db31e5e78b19c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 635.39$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 48c | 570.38$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 536.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 378.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…bee1backed Over | 25c | 231.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 64c | 226.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 199.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Over | 45c | 167.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 55c | 150.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.9wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Over | 49c | 134.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 122.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Over | 50c | 101.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 66c | 98.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 51c | 83.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 51c | 68.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Over | 57c | 68.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 45c | 65.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 64.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 61c | 39.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 38.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 45c | 36.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 62c | 30.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…490fbacked Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 48c | 23.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…82e5backed Over | 49c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 61c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.