NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ed1397695ee0da5407571b99421c2f0e74fb0eb905e7e035fdf2fa08dd957a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,139,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Lightning | 53c | 299,867$158,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,347.24 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bruins | 47c | 100,686$47,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,185.46 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 48c | 67,538$32,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,124.11 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bruins | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Lightning | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bruins | 50c | 31,222$15,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,569.28 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 52c | 23,107$11,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,907.54 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 47c | 20,160$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 52c | 20,000$10,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bruins | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.36 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lightning | 57c | 17,440$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Bruins | 49c | 16,242$7,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,976.28 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Bruins | 49c | 14,371$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Bruins | 47c | 11,766$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.32 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 46c | 8,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Lightning | 51c | 7,624$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.86 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Bruins | 73c | 7,562$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed Bruins | 48c | 7,560$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bruins | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bruins | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.97 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 48c | 5,344$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 47c | 5,121$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bruins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…8362backed Lightning | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bruins | 48c | 4,704$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.76 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…0e20backed Bruins | 48c | 4,700$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 45c | 4,409$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Bruins | 50c | 4,395$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bruins | 74c | 4,387$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.15 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,260$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.8 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Lightning | 30c | 4,134$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Lightning | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bruins | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Bruins | 73c | 3,825$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.46 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lightning | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.02 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Bruins | 49c | 3,693$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Bruins | 46c | 3,674$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.23 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Lightning | 27c | 3,643$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Bruins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Bruins | 47c | 2,988$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.26 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Bruins | 45c | 2,809$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.27 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 53c | 2,791$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,780$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.2 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bruins | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Lightning | 28c | 2,318$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.23 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 50c | 2,297$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.77 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Lightning | 52c | 2,288$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.46 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bruins | 47c | 2,235$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.45 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Bruins | 48c | 2,198$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Lightning | 53c | 2,190$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.08 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Bruins | 48c | 2,154$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 71c | 2,133$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Lightning | 68c | 2,127$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.06 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Lightning | 50c | 2,113$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,100$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Bruins | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Bruins | 10c | 2,004$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Bruins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.96 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,936$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Bruins | 73c | 1,925$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.28 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…dc04backed Bruins | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lightning | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Lightning | 54c | 1,855$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.78 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,851$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.82 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…6584backed Bruins | 45c | 1,782$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…0ecabacked Lightning | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bruins | 47c | 1,342$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.74 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Bruins | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 45c | 1,235$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Bruins | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…1878backed Lightning | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lightning | 25c | 1,135$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.95 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Bruins | 45c | 1,116$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Bruins | 47c | 1,107$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Lightning | 55c | 1,032$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.59 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Bruins | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…2d4bbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Bruins | 37c | 1,004$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.85 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bruins | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…52b4backed Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…eebdbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Bruins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Lightning | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed Lightning | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bruins | 53c | 991.63$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.76 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bruins | 62c | 960.09$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.78 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Bruins | 47c | 959.5$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.97 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…fac6backed Lightning | 52c | 957.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lightning | 38c | 949.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.21 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Lightning | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Bruinsthis page
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.