Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3eeacb60c1a83e1543eebed42f2ad72e066f37a39b5c7c8689b12a7bf6a041d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Arsenal FC, Sporting CP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Sporting CP | 62c | 97,718$60,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,166.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 35,102$13,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 25,001$9,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,303.19 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 13,003$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sporting CP | 63c | 12,079$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC | 30c | 8,692$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.73 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 6,935$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.89 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 6,029$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.75 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 5,160$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sporting CP | 64c | 4,260$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.58 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 4,073$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.86 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 3,641$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.08 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 3,532$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Arsenal FC | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 2,598$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked Sporting CP | 63c | 2,584$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 2,046$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.1 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 2,015$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 2,015$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Sporting CP | 63c | 1,826$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 1,655$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Sporting CP | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,599$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…a98dbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,581$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting CP | 63c | 1,575$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.01 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,368$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,356$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,199$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Arsenal FC | 36c | 1,177$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Arsenal FC | 9c | 1,110$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Sporting CP | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,020$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 991.31$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Sporting CP | 63c | 793.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.63 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 790.06$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 776.44$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 689.18$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…82e2backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 686.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 670.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 665.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 650.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arsenal FC | 19c | 633.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sporting CP | 63c | 620.97$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Sporting CP | 62c | 618.49$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 618.22$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Arsenal FC | 22c | 563$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 534.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 531.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 520.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 499.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…1d1ebacked Arsenal FC | 21c | 493.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arsenal FC | 22c | 473$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 452.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 445$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 437.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 426.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 400.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 392.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Sporting CP | 63c | 391.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 390.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Sporting CP | 61c | 336.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Sporting CP | 63c | 310.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Sporting CP | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Sporting CP | 63c | 293.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Arsenal FC | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Arsenal FC | 41c | 282.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 281.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Sporting CP | 74c | 266.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…ec0bbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 260.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 259.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sporting CP | 64c | 256.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 255.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…93f1backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.