Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676fd896543a167889635d1c4b27a9860fe537144d679136fed72077efc56ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 24,523$11,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,532.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 18,880$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 13,922$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,269.7 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 7,961$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.49 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 60c | 6,155$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 4,104$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.55 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 24c | 3,977$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 3,973$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.12 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 3,762$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.31 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 61c | 3,551$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 47c | 3,091$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 76c | 2,616$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 2,613$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 76c | 2,205$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 73c | 1,567$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.4 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 46c | 1,473$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 25c | 1,458$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Under | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 40c | 1,152$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 1,061$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 1,061$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 66c | 1,039$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Over | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed Over | 76c | 985.6$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 30c | 958$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 54c | 901.21$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…4007backed Over | 77c | 896.55$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 76c | 875.37$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 55c | 847.98$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Over | 21c | 688.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 630.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 6c | 629.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 627.93$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 612.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Under | 23c | 589.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 23c | 565.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 39c | 549.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 65c | 538.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 518.9$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 52c | 499.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.98 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 73c | 491.41$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…26f1backed Over | 3c | 480.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 473$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 24c | 471.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.31 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 53c | 450.57$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 441.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 73c | 381.36$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…ba60backed Over | 28c | 346.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 56c | 340.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 5c | 333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 74c | 332.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 49c | 312.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 63c | 308.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 307.09$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 47c | 298.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked Under | 49c | 294.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 67c | 294.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 290.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 287.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 285.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 266.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Over | 74c | 260$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 24c | 258.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 74c | 252.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -10.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 240.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 60c | 236.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 60c | 226.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 48c | 225.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Under | 44c | 221.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 76c | 216.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Over | 75c | 204.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 75c | 199.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 57c | 193.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 38c | 192.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Over | 11c | 189.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 76c | 188.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…f45dbacked Over | 77c | 186.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.