Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5267513c2788d80a813fb5982d6cd56178a2d83d411072eb2df6f6ccf4bbdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 51c | 46,237$23,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,581.04 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 33,971$17,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,645.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 20,510$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 19,265$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,439.89 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 16,472$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.12 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 47c | 14,707$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 14,408$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,406.32 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 13,234$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.49 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 12,012$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.23 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 50c | 9,683$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 9,531$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 49c | 8,802$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 47c | 8,540$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 6,124$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.97 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 51c | 6,001$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.49 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 5,391$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 4,838$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.66 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 4,331$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 49c | 3,879$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.58 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…d2f2backed Over | 52c | 3,849$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 49c | 3,759$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Under | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 2,820$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.9 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 52c | 2,791$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 2,573$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 2,263$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.28 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Over | 51c | 2,249$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 53c | 2,199$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 47c | 1,886$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 14c | 1,458$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,440$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 1,369$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.36 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,200$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.39 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,107$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.07 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 49c | 1,098$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.68 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.15 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 989.88$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.74 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 49c | 934.47$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.58 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 911$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 21c | 907.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 51c | 800.77$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 793.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 51c | 786$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.14 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 49c | 768.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 768.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 754.43$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 710.86$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 689.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 674.79$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…9c36backed Under | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 48c | 629.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 52c | 628$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 37c | 621.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 21c | 605.31$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 582.72$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 21c | 570.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 52c | 549.81$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +48%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 539.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 49c | 536.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 532.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 49c | 532.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 42c | 517$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 516.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 50c | 515$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Over | 51c | 479.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 472.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 466.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Over | 53c | 419.32$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 413.51$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 413.16$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 32c | 409.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 48c | 401.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 53c | 395.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 48c | 393.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.