Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb430d35976b2436b9b30aaee520e685cba341f7f4b8f882aa43a267d1845cd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 74c | 73,051$54,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,874.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 17,156$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.36 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 16,262$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.1 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 12,754$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.64 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 26c | 6,968$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.34 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 26c | 6,380$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 72c | 5,414$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.85 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 78c | 5,290$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.88 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 4,991$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.09 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 73c | 4,043$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.61 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 3,663$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.34 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 26c | 2,819$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.98 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 27c | 2,745$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 72c | 2,361$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 28c | 2,360$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.54 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 24c | 2,031$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 2,014$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.74 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 1,596$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 1,435$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,420$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 26c | 1,397$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 13c | 1,195$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 26c | 1,100$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 1,040$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 19c | 891.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 9c | 787.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Over | 28c | 653.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 30c | 591.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Over | 30c | 568.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 22c | 560.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 7c | 500.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 13c | 472.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 24c | 447.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Under | 72c | 409.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 6c | 363.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 6c | 363.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 6c | 363.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 27c | 353.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 28c | 350.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 70c | 347.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 29c | 345.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 29c | 345.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 28c | 332.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 26c | 318.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 72c | 314.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 25c | 314.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 299.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 26c | 289.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Over | 4c | 277.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Under | 73c | 271.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 27c | 268.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b6edbacked Under | 77c | 255.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Over | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 7c | 226.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 25c | 185$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 26c | 173.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…172cbacked Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 26c | 160.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 27c | 157.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Over | 28c | 157.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 154.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 72c | 154$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 72c | 123.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 71c | 103.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 98.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Under | 73c | 92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked Under | 71c | 82.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…c115backed Under | 72c | 81.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 80c | 74.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…df72backed Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…c1ebbacked Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 65.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Under | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 28c | 60.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Over | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.