Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a92f8285c302424917e8e5fa61aee1dd8c5080536c6cb9211855a4b0accc4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 58c | 90,321$51,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,331.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 43c | 84,129$35,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,843.58 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 57c | 71,906$40,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,044.71 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 42c | 12,895$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 43c | 7,927$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.56 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 7,395$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.85 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 43c | 6,357$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 6,319$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.89 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 43c | 6,114$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 44c | 5,651$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 44c | 5,123$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 57c | 5,013$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 4,724$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 43c | 4,497$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 46c | 4,421$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.05 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 3,047$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…5d38backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 1,912$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.79 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 58c | 1,749$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.59 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 33c | 1,589$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 41c | 1,537$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.13 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.14 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 1,493$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.65 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 1,461$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.87 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 1,242$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.8 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 1,214$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.36 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,061$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 1,030$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 991.17$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.86 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 838.49$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.35 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 48c | 734.23$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 580.53$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 43c | 505.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 453.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 42c | 432.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 43c | 430.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 53c | 428.02$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 43c | 407.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 403.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…06b7backed No | 49c | 397.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 43c | 374.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 28c | 355.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 63c | 320.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 48c | 302.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 43c | 279.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 43c | 273.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 43c | 268.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 43c | 260.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 50c | 260.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 258$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 43c | 242$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 234.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 43c | 232.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 43c | 232.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 43c | 232.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 43c | 232.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 43c | 232.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 43c | 224.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 222.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 220$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 49c | 214.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 199.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 35c | 194.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 57c | 176.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Yes | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 164.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 60c | 153.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 43c | 151.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 43c | 145.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 43c | 132.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 43c | 128.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.