Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42744bcc4de12117f52bd7e36983417062b209e8baa705508362817d7c151b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 2,795$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.87 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,374$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.1 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 1,723$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.15 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 985.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.11 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 24c | 961.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 923.16$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 22c | 922.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 23c | 791$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 21c | 701.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 534.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 60c | 503.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 498.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 451.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 443.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Yes | 4c | 437$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 402$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 385.45$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 363.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 20c | 300.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 288.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 207.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 195.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 172$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Yes | 22c | 143.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 42c | 139.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…87e3backed Yes | 23c | 97.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 23c | 97.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 79c | 88.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 81.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…2f3cbacked No | 79c | 77.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Yes | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 25c | 62.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 57.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 50.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 23c | 48.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 23c | 48.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 25c | 48.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 74c | 47.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 65c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.