MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded6c58130ea5bab4ae30af2098f68348ac53b559c72e3c81b7d45233764fec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $656,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 55,576$12,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,352.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 42,880$21,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,405.88 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 41,772$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.33 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 25,846$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,104.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 19,711$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,754.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 16,418$8,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,020.64 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 15,861$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.44 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 13,018$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.51 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 12,707$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.46 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 12,305$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 10,835$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 10,244$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 9,815$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 8,911$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 8,725$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.05 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 8,381$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 7,885$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 7,443$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 6,716$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.22 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 6,563$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.62 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 6,293$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.67 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 5,980$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.29 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 5,662$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.93 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 4,871$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.17 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 4,249$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.31 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 4,083$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.93 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 4,049$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,844$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,844$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.77 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,802$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.4 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,520$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.57 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 3,387$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 3,386$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.45 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,234$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.42 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,219$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,113$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.24 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,070$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.58 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 2,909$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,371$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.34 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 2,303$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.66 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,169$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,127$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 2,005$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 1,863$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,845$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,762$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.74 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,690$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.2 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,688$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,460$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,369$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.69 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 1,369$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.07 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.81 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,320$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,310$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,264$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,263$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.74 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,255$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.33 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,043$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.09 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.1 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,038$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,008$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 999.91$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 972.96$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 969.5$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 965.18$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.79 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 956.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.03 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 918.44$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.13 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 850.98$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.33 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 847.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 845.96$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.24 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 840.46$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 830.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.65 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 823.38$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d2…efb2backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 779.9$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 764.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 740.35$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 731.27$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 720.32$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 686.41$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 684.21$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 676.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 655.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.52 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 615.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 596.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 585.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.3 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 579.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 2.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.