MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9059a7783af038d5b7a177876ecaea2810f14c37473e802fbb4e2446b2d7e436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 34,879$16,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,137.17 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 29,136$15,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,150.72 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 22,387$10,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.22 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 15,515$8,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.71 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 12,061$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.97 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 9,304$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.26 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 8,592$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 8,433$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.81 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 7,540$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 6,439$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.12 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 5,146$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.31 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 5,060$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.96 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,923$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.89 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 4,764$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.15 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 4,624$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 4,467$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,397$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.64 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,395$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 4,253$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,040$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 4,036$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.71 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 3,658$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 3,644$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 3,641$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,608$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.14 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 3,171$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,661$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.71 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 2,430$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,984$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.57 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,910$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.92 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…39b4backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,791$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 1,586$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,379$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.42 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,273$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.59 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 1,199$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 1,183$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.7 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,180$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,177$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…b2fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 1,114$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,104$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.11 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 938.46$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.87 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 910$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 799.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 796.89$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 789.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 665$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.05 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 564.08$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.22 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 547.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…abb1backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 547.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 522.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 510$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 499.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 469.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 466.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.46 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 425.91$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 422.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 407.84$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 405.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 401.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 385.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 362.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 344.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 343$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 326.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 319.26$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 312.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 284.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 281.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 274.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 264.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 262.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 254$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 245.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 242.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 238.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 226.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 222.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 214.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 211.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 208.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 205.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.