Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162af116f6439b9dc72c027c07067c028786491db759545306c09f0272f39b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dab…e426backed Yes | 0c | 45,005$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,083$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…9e62backed Yes | 1c | 1,213$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…a9debacked Yes | 3c | 999.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed Yes | 1c | 934.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 23c | 788.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 29c | 773.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 743.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 72c | 739.05$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.13 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 25c | 701.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 666.53$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 18c | 517.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 74c | 481.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 33c | 440.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked Yes | 69c | 392.25$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 61c | 378.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…2af3backed No | 57c | 372.85$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 23c | 366.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked Yes | 22c | 305.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 23c | 305.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 46c | 290$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 26c | 286.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 77c | 284.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 16c | 283.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed No | 67c | 274.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb872…6b4dbacked No | 76c | 255.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…030dbacked No | 78c | 230.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 228.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 20c | 222.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 24c | 220.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 209.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 42c | 202.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 22c | 199.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed No | 75c | 197.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 26c | 191.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 163.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…2c06backed Yes | 67c | 163.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 30c | 154.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked No | 71c | 154.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 44c | 151.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 24c | 151$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 20c | 150.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 58c | 149.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 149.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 65c | 148.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…e163backed No | 75c | 137.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…ca53backed No | 75c | 135.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 31c | 131.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 73c | 129.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 37c | 127.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 25c | 123.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 121.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…f224backed Yes | 25c | 117.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 57c | 110.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 16c | 109.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5ba7backed Yes | 30c | 108.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked No | 60c | 108.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 108.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 13c | 105.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 20c | 104.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…6fe7backed Yes | 28c | 101.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 40c | 100.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 99.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed No | 71c | 99.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 66c | 98.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 98.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 35c | 97.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 97.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 33c | 97.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 67c | 96.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 22c | 92.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 23c | 91.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 46c | 90.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4144backed No | 53c | 89.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…2402backed Yes | 35c | 82.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0409backed Yes | 25c | 81.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 66c | 79.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…3afebacked No | 58c | 79.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 61c | 75.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…bf41backed Yes | 19c | 74.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 41c | 74.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 72.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…038abacked No | 74c | 71.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 68c | 71.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 38c | 70.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…c7dbbacked No | 71c | 68.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…4a8bbacked No | 72c | 68.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…03cbbacked Yes | 51c | 65.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 32c | 64.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 67c | 64.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 27c | 64.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.