Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d0f39fa8e66d28e9dc3352dce409efe3b212c499b04a3b1c9f2209bb8f397d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,055$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 14c | 899.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 838.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 806.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 739.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 17c | 648.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 477.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 5c | 471.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed Yes | 5c | 430.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 3c | 420.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 4c | 354.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…1300backed Yes | 14c | 316.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 288.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…5441backed Yes | 4c | 241.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 5c | 227.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 227.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 219.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 78c | 201.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 30c | 197.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 7c | 192.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…9181backed Yes | 11c | 188.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 11c | 174.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 173.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 171.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 23c | 143.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 37c | 132.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked No | 80c | 130.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 19c | 126.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 76c | 125.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 80c | 100.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 30c | 99.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 31c | 99.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 98.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…eb4bbacked No | 80c | 98.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 26c | 97.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 21c | 96.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 19c | 95.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 70c | 94.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 20c | 92.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 91.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 23c | 76.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 78c | 73.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 19c | 73.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 27c | 72.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…38cbbacked Yes | 27c | 69.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 33c | 69.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 59.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 22c | 58.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 52.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 22c | 51.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…74abbacked No | 74c | 49.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 34c | 49.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 29c | 48.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 67c | 47.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 74c | 42.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 32c | 40.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…f379backed No | 70c | 30.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…631fbacked No | 70c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 78c | 27.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c83ebacked No | 76c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 78c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…685abacked No | 79c | 24.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…1a87backed No | 66c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…868fbacked No | 73c | 21.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed No | 79c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 70c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…abc0backed No | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 70c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…47fbbacked No | 70c | 18.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 78c | 18.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…01b1backed No | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 70c | 14.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked No | 71c | 14.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…9e55backed No | 78c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.