Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf92a10ba02dd37699ce3179f10a89d5c9c0a120df9a0bcc466411b4430a45522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,247$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 3c | 1,221$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 2c | 926.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 2c | 877.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 3c | 819.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 501.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 492.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Yes | 22c | 446.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 441.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 18c | 438.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 25c | 434.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked No | 75c | 399.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes | 42c | 384.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 19c | 375.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 343.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 17c | 320.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…d455backed Yes | 5c | 320.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 64c | 305.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked Yes | 35c | 305.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 47c | 305.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…2af3backed No | 73c | 291.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 283.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 70c | 275.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed Yes | 36c | 262.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 16c | 238.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 16c | 230.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 61c | 220.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 213.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 205.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 36c | 201.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 74c | 201.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked No | 64c | 199.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 76c | 193.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 28c | 192.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 50c | 189.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 38c | 186.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 24c | 183.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 175.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…b00dbacked Yes | 27c | 168.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 9c | 157.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 31c | 155.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 148.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 39c | 146.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…4cfcbacked Yes | 7c | 146.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…6e6dbacked No | 68c | 141.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed Yes | 22c | 141.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 141.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 132.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 36c | 131.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 12c | 129.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 128.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 22c | 118.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 19c | 112$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 47c | 111.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…9a04backed Yes | 34c | 109.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…e0b5backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 36c | 99.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed Yes | 28c | 97.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 20c | 97.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…3b2ebacked Yes | 29c | 96.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…cd8bbacked Yes | 14c | 96.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 78c | 92.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…543ebacked Yes | 20c | 92.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 90.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 26c | 83.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 70c | 82.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 22c | 79.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 62c | 78.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 32c | 77.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 15c | 75.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 21c | 75.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…917ebacked No | 70c | 75.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 38c | 73.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 71.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 17c | 68.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 68.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…d5fdbacked Yes | 22c | 61.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…66d7backed Yes | 23c | 59.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 35c | 59.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 79c | 58.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 56.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…46aabacked Yes | 25c | 55.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 34c | 54.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 54.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 78c | 53.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…ea14backed Yes | 37c | 51.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 50.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.