Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f9a56c8df5f043b34833979caf33e7f7be37dbe0a1e8638a01ca250d949b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 2c | 4,766$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked No | 2c | 1,833$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 1,301$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 1,050$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.55 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 1,017$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 3c | 978.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.19 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 5c | 904.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.55 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 25c | 845.16$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 830.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 7c | 798.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.32 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 22c | 680.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.13 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked No | 41c | 676.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 11c | 520.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 56c | 509.32$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 42c | 401.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 25c | 383.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 65c | 362.05$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 9c | 313.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 8c | 297.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 56c | 277.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 9c | 264.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 261.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 11c | 257.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…4ea6backed Yes | 70c | 255.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 5c | 235.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 28c | 233.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 232.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 220.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 11c | 199.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 195.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 6c | 185.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5ba7backed Yes | 7c | 173.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 59c | 165.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 10c | 165.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 18c | 155.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f1…708cbacked Yes | 65c | 148.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 10c | 146.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 7c | 145.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 66c | 142.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…0f04backed Yes | 69c | 139.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 77c | 133.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…941bbacked No | 12c | 122.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 29c | 117.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 73c | 116.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 41c | 114.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 80c | 111.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed No | 23c | 110.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 78c | 107.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 64c | 98.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 73c | 97.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 70c | 96.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 61c | 95.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 94.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 23c | 93.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…8d09backed Yes | 13c | 90.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 13c | 89.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 85.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 36c | 84.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…9544backed Yes | 12c | 83.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 25c | 82.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 42c | 75.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…03cbbacked Yes | 74c | 75.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…7422backed Yes | 66c | 73.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 24c | 69.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 65.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 17c | 63.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 69c | 62.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 22c | 59.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…25febacked Yes | 60c | 56.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 60c | 55.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 63c | 51.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…242ebacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 78c | 49.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…2402backed Yes | 22c | 46.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…fafebacked Yes | 67c | 44.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…dba8backed No | 48c | 41.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 78c | 40.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 66c | 39.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…0062backed Yes | 73c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 78c | 37.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…0e79backed No | 78c | 37.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 99 | 80.8%80 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 78c | 37.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 67c | 36.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 68c | 35.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 54c | 35.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2dbfbacked Yes | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed No | 29c | 33.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 69c | 29.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…ffa3backed No | 71c | 28.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked Yes | 70c | 27.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.