TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c32…d55f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4789.4%42 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.48
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.85
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$14.95
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.58
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$11.36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.71
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$11.13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.5%+$13.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.8%+$9.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketballbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$24.14
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Barcelona vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.09
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Barcelona vs. Paris Basketballbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.55
Virtus Bologna vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelonabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Barcelona vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7.43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$5.04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$5.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25.3%+$6.23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.2%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.86
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 59°F or below on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$6.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick75cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Winter Bear (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Winter Bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+36.9%+$9.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.7%+$41.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.3%+$26.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.